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2024-12-14 10:36:21

US lawmakers from Texas proposed to establish a strategic bitcoin reserve. It is reported that Giovanni Capriglione, a Republican state legislator from Texas, proposed legislation on Thursday to establish a strategic bitcoin reserve. The bill will allow the state to collect taxes, fees and donations in the form of bitcoins and hold these bitcoins for at least five years. Giovanni described it as a hedge against inflation. This proposal does not elaborate on the plan to buy Bitcoin directly. Texas is the region with the largest concentration of bitcoin miners in the United States. The legislation aims to encourage miners to use digital assets to pay taxes.The yield of 2/10-year German bonds rose by about 8 basis points at most. At the end of the European market on Thursday (December 12), the yield of German 10-year government bonds rose by 7.8 basis points to 2.205%, which was in a rising state for most of the day. It was as low as 2.123% at 21:56 Beijing time (shortly after the press conference of European Central Bank President Lagarde began, before the US stock market closed), and then rebounded. The yield of two-year German bonds rose by 7.3 basis points, reaching a new high of 2.204%, which was 1.915% lower than the new low of 21:43 (after the European Central Bank announced the third interest rate cut in the year, after the release of American PPI and before the start of Lagarde's press conference). The yield of 30-year German bonds rose by 6.9 basis points to 2.445%, which was on the rise all day. The yield spread of 2/10-year German bonds rose by 0.838 basis points to +18.116 basis points, and rose to +20.614 basis points at 21:43. British 10-year bond yields rose by 4.6 basis points, and two-year British bond yields rose by 2.3 basis points. The yield spread of 2/10-year British bonds rose by 2.311 basis points to +8.709 basis points.Fitch: The possible trade policy changes after the results of the 2024 election in the United States will bring risks in 2025 and may reduce the demand for shipping companies.


Leader of the Houthi Movement: We cooperated with Islamic resistance organizations and conducted joint actions against Israel. The Support Front took action this week against occupied Jaffa, Ashdod and Ashkelon.UN spokesman: UN Secretary-General Guterres pays special attention to hundreds of air strikes by Israel on several locations in Syria. He stressed the urgent need to reduce the level of violence in all aspects of Syria.Sources: A few ECB policymakers initially hoped to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Three sources said that several ECB policymakers initially hoped to cut interest rates more sharply on Thursday, and they were worried that the new US tariffs would hinder economic growth. The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, and opened the door for more easing policies, as the euro zone economy was dragged down by domestic political instability and the threat of a new round of trade war in the United States. However, due to the low forecast of inflation and economic growth, about five of the 26 members of the official Committee initially advocated a 50 basis point interest rate cut. In particular, they pointed out that if the incoming Trump administration imposes new tariffs on the EU, the growth of economic output next year may be lower than the 1.1% expected by the European Central Bank. A small number of policy makers who called for greater interest rate cuts quickly gave in, adding that given the current uncertainty, people are reluctant to make a hasty decision.


In the first 10 months of this year, the number of tourists from China to Hungary nearly doubled. According to the latest data from the Hungarian Ministry of Economic Affairs, a total of 183,000 tourists from China arrived in Hungary in the first 10 months of this year, nearly doubling compared with the same period last year.Precious metal futures continued to fall, and the main contract of Shanghai Bank fell by nearly 2%, and it is now reported at 7798 yuan/kg; The main contract of Shanghai Gold fell by nearly 1% and is now reported at 623.08 yuan/gram.CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.

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